A Metal on the Move
Silver has always lived in gold’s shadow — until now. In 2025, silver has broken above $35/oz for the first time since 2011, driven by record-setting demand and multi-year deficits. With investors watching closely, the question is simple: is $40 silver next?
Industries and Investors Competing
Silver’s unique value lies in its dual role:
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Industrial Users: Solar panel manufacturers, automakers, and electronics companies are consuming more silver than ever before.
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Investors: From hedge funds to retail buyers, investors are treating silver as both a safe haven and a growth commodity.
This convergence of industrial and monetary demand is what makes silver so powerful right now.
Persistent Market Deficits
According to the World Silver Survey 2025:
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Global demand reached ~1.2 billion ounces in 2024.
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Mine production delivered only ~820 million ounces.
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Recycling filled some of the gap, but the market still ran a deficit of ~250 million ounces.
This marks the fourth consecutive year of deficit, a structural imbalance not seen in decades.
Demand Drivers in Detail
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Solar Panels (PV): The photovoltaic industry consumed over 200 million ounces in 2024, representing ~17% of total demand. With global governments pushing clean energy, demand will only rise.
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Electric Vehicles (EVs): Silver’s conductivity makes it essential in EV batteries, wiring, and electronics.
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5G & Electronics: Smartphones, semiconductors, and high-frequency tech require silver for performance.
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Monetary Demand: Investors continue to buy silver coins, bars, and ETFs as protection against inflation and currency volatility.
Market Mechanics Driving Price
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Deficits tighten inventories: As stockpiles shrink, any new demand pushes prices higher.
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Investment leverage: Silver historically outperforms gold in bull cycles — moving faster and higher once momentum builds.
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Psychological levels: Breaking $35/oz opened the door to $40 as the next key resistance.
Historical Context
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In the late 1970s, silver shortages fueled a run to $50/oz.
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In 2011, QE policies and investor demand pushed silver from $18/oz to nearly $50/oz in under two years.
Both cases highlight silver’s explosive potential once supply/demand imbalances collide with speculative buying.
Investor Takeaway
Silver isn’t just riding gold’s coattails — it has its own powerful demand engine. With supply unable to keep up, deficits mounting, and new industries consuming more, silver’s path to $40 and beyond looks increasingly credible.
For investors, silver represents both a defensive asset and a growth play on the clean-energy transition. Adding exposure now means participating in one of the decade’s most compelling commodity stories.